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Wed. Aug 13, 2008The Hotline's Briefing on House Races

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Spotlight

Penn Pals

Two new ads out today highlight why two PA incumbents are in deep trouble this cycle.

-- Hazleton Mayor Lou Barletta (R) began running his first TV ad today: a positive spot that stresses his "change" agenda against 12-term Rep. Paul Kanjorski (D). GOPers say that even though Barletta's endured weeks of DCCC-sponsored TV attacks (and positive Kanjorski spots), Kanjorski's the one that's suffering some poll erosion. If that's true, then Barletta heads into the fall in great shape.

-- Phil English's (R-PA 03) new buy shows how complex a race he faces. Not only has he gone negative early on businesswoman Kathy Dahlkemper (D), but he also features Hillary Clinton and Barack Obama heavily in the ad, and not in a negative way. They're used to butress his argument that Dahlkemper needs to disclose her tax returns. This appears to be an acknowledgement that he not only faces a tough opponent, but also a tough landscape.

-- Both incumbents have touted their financial advantages as a reason that they'd hold off their upstart challengers. But so far, with Kanjorski and English already running ads for weeks, that cash edge may not be a cure-all for what ails them.

Top News
  • Speak Polis?

    Internet entrepreneur Polis (D) makes his $5M investment count, as he defeats ex-state Sen. Fitz-Gerald (D) in CO-02. Conservationist Shafroth (D) fades.

  • Out Like A Lamb-orn

    Against two GOPers, Rep. Lamborn (R-CO 05) cruises to primary win. But had Crank or Rayburn not run...

  • Unity '08

    CO Sec/State Coffman (D) wins comfortable CO-06 victory. Don't look for any GOP discord here.

  • A Huge Club

    Club for Growth dumps another $350K into ads against Rep. Young (R-AK AL), this time blasting him for "Coconut Road."

  • Bright Teachers?

    AL Education Assoc. poll shows Montgomery Mayor Bright (D) up 10% in AL-05. GOPers don't trust the numbers.

Contents Wed. Aug 13, 2008

Recent Editions
  • Tuesday, August 12, 2008
  • Monday, August 11, 2008
  • Thursday, August 07, 2008
  • Wednesday, August 06, 2008
  • Tuesday, August 05, 2008

Today's Frontpage

    Results

  • COLORADO 02 (D/BOULDER -- UDALL): She Gave Him Fitz, But Nothing More
  • COLORADO 05 (R/COLORADO SPRINGS -- LAMBORN): Why You Two-Timers!
  • COLORADO 06 (R/LITTLETON -- TANCREDO): Nobody Wants To Bury Coffman
  • COLORADO 01 (D/DENVER -- DEGETTE): Lowering The Boom On Crain
  • CONNECTICUT 04 (R/STAMFORD -- SHAYS): Oh, She Could Write A Book
  • NEVADA 01 (D/LAS VEGAS -- BERKLEY): If You Care...
  • NEVADA 02 (R/RENO -- HELLER): GOP Smack Down
  • NEVADA 03 (R/HENDERSON -- PORTER): Can't See The Forest For The Trees Here

    Open Seats

  • ALABAMA 02 (R/MONTGOMERY -- EVERETT): That's A Lot Of Dems...
  • ALABAMA 05 (D/HUNTSVILLE -- CRAMER): Taking It Out Of Parker
  • NEW YORK 13 (R/STATEN ISLAND -- FOSSELLA): How Faso-nating!
  • NEW YORK 26 (R/ROCHESTER -- REYNOLDS): What Have You Done For Me Lately?
  • OHIO 15 (R/COLUMBUS -- PRYCE): Just Don't Compete With Phelps
  • OHIO 16 (R/CANTON -- REGULA): The Secret's Out Of The Chamber
  • TENNESSEE 01 (R/KINGSPORT -- DAVIS): Let It Go, Please
  • WYOMING AT-LARGE (R - CUBIN): A Negative Times A Negative Is A Positive

    Freshmen

  • ARIZONA 05 (D/SCOTTSDALE -- MITCHELL): Good Cop, Bad Cop
  • ARIZONA 08 (D/TUCSON -- GIFFORDS): Always The Gracious Host
  • FLORIDA 09 (R/TAMPA -- BILIRAKIS): Go Along To Get Along
  • FLORIDA 16 (D/PORT CHARLOTTE -- MAHONEY): Back In Business
  • IDAHO 01 (R/LEWISTON -- SALI): A Case Of Laziness?
  • LOUISIANA 06 (D/BATON ROUGE -- CAZAYOUX): It's Time To Start Getting It Right
  • MINNESOTA 06 (R/ST. CLOUD -- BACHMANN): Clip And Saved

    Veterans to Watch

  • ALASKA-AT-LARGE (R/ANCHORAGE -- YOUNG): Chew On This Pork
  • NEW YORK 29 (R/CORNING -- KUHL): Kuhl No Punches
  • PENNSYLVANIA 03 (R/ERIE -- ENGLISH): If It's Good Enough For Barack...
  • PENNSYLVANIA 11 (D/SCRANTON -- KANJORSKI): And Yes, Illegal Immigration...
  • WEST VIRGINIA 02 (R/CHARLESTON -- CAPITO): Looking To Capito-lize?

    National Briefing

  • BATTLE FOR THE HOUSE: Well Same To You

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