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From The Hotline Latest Edition for Wednesday, May 14,2008

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WH EXITS

Charleston Chew

Wed. May 14, 2008


An Edison Media Research/Mitofsky Int'l exit poll; conducted 5/13 for the NEP; surveyed 1,478 WV voters; margin of error +/- 3% (MSNBC/CNN, 5/14).

Gender

-                   All Cli Oba
Male                47% 57% 34%
Female              53  70  24

Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White               95% 67% 26%
Black                3   *   *
Hispanic/Latino     --   *   *
Asian               --   *   *
Other                1   *   *

Age

-                   All Cli Oba
17-29               14% 56% 38%
30-44               22  63  27
45-59               31  65  27
60+                 34  68  28

Party ID

-                   All Cli Oba
Democrat            77% 68% 27%
Republican           4   *   *
Independent/other   18  51  35

On Most Political Matters, Do You Consider Yourself ___?

-                   All Cli Oba
Liberal             34% 64% 33%
Moderate            45  67  27
Conservative        21  58  27

Gender By Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White men           45% 60% 30%
White women         51  73  22
Black men            2   *   *
Black women          1   *   *
Latino men          --   *   *
Latino women        --   *   *
All other races      1   *   *

Age By Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White 17-29         13% 59% 35%
White 30-44         21  66  24
White 45-59         29  68  24
White 60+           32  70  25
Black 17-29          1   *   *
Black 30-44          1   *   *
Black 45-59          1   *   *
Black 60+            1   *   *
Latino 17-29         *   *   *
Latino 30-44        --   *   *
Latino 45-59        --   *   *
Latino 60+          --   *   *
All other            1   *   *

Party By Race

-                   All Cli Oba
White Dems          73% 72% 24%
White Inds          18  52  34
Black Dems           3   *   *
Black Inds          --   *   *
Latino Dems         --   *   *
Latino Inds          *   *   *
All GOPers           4   *   *
All other            1   *   *

What Was The Last Grade Of School You Completed?

-                               All Cli Oba
Did not complete H.S.            7%  *   *
H.S. graduate                   34  75% 21%
Some college/assoc. degree      29  62  28
College graduate                16  57  35
Postgraduate study              14  51  44

College Education

-                   All Cli Oba
No college degree   70% 69% 24%
College graduate    30  54  39

Union Household?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes                 35% 67% 25%
No                  65  63  31

'07 Total Family Income

-                   All Cli Oba
Less than $50k      54% 69% 25%
$50k or more        46  58  34

'07 Total Family Income

-                   All Cli Oba
Under $15k           9% 79% 19%
$15-30k             20  73  21
$30-50k             24  62  31
$50-75k             22  61  29
$75-100k            12  56  38
$100-150k            7   *   *
$150-200k            3   *   *
$200k or more        2   *   *

When Did You Make Your WH '08 Choice?

-                   All Cli Oba
Just today          13% 50% 27%
In the last 3 days   5   *   *
Sometime last week   6   *   *
In the last month   17  63  32
Before that         58  68  27

When Did You Make Your WH '08 Choice?

-                   All Cli Oba
In the last 3 days  18% 54% 29%
Earlier than that   81  67  29

Which Is The Most Important Issue Facing The U.S.?

-                   All Cli Oba
Economy             63% 65% 28%
Iraq                17  57  37
Health care         15  68  23

Which Quality Was Most Important To Your WH '08 Primary Choice?

-                                   All Cli Oba
Can bring about needed change       47% 47% 48%
Has the right experience            23  90   2
Cares about people like me          18  74  18
Has the best chances in Nov.         9  72  22

For Whom Would You Vote In Nov. If The Candidates Were ___?

-                   All Cli Oba
H. Clinton, Dem     73% 77% 21%
J. McCain, GOPer    18  35  42
Would not vote       6   *   *

For Whom Would You Vote In Nov. If The Candidates Were ___?

-                   All Cli Oba
B. Obama, Dem       51% 48% 50%
J. McCain, GOPer    29  76   9
Would not vote      18  90   3

Which Candidate Would Be More Likely To Beat McCain In Nov.?

-                   All Cli Oba
H. Clinton          62% 90%  3%
B. Obama            35  19  74

Which Candidate Is More Qualified To Be Commander In Chief?

-                   All Cli Oba
H. Clinton          68% 90%  4%
B. Obama            27   5  92

Did Clinton Attack Obama Unfairly?

-                   All Cli Oba
Did                 59% 54% 37%
Did not             37  80  16

Did Obama Attack Clinton Unfairly?

-                   All Cli Oba
Did                 50% 72% 18%
Did not             46  56  41

Would You Be Satisfied/Dissatisfied If Clinton Gets The Dem Nod?

-                   All Cli Oba
Satisfied           73% 80% 17%
Dissatisfied        25  17  64

Would You Be Satisfied/Dissatisfied If Obama Gets The Dem Nod?

-                   All Cli Oba
Satisfied           44% 36% 60%
Dissatisfied        54  87   4

Does Clinton Share Your Values?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, does           69% 81% 17%
No, does not        30  25  57

Does Obama Share Your Values?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, does           45% 43% 54%
No, does not        54  81   8

Is Clinton Honesty And Trustworthy?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, is             63% 83% 15%
No, is not          35  32  54

Is Obama Honesty And Trustworthy?

-                   All Cli Oba
Yes, is             45% 44% 54%
No, is not          53  82   8

Was The Gender Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                   All Cli Oba
Important           18% 73% 22%
Not important       81  62  30

Was The Gender Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                               All Cli Oba
Men who say was a factor         8% 59% 34%  
Men who say was not a factor    38  56  34
Women who say was a factor       9  84  12
Women who say was not a factor  43  68  27

Was The Race Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                   All Cli Oba
Important           22% 81% 13%
Not important       77  59  34

Was The Race Of The Candidate Important To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                               All Cli Oba
Whites who say was a factor     20% 84% 10%
Whites who say was not a factor 72  62  31
Blacks who say was a factor      1   *   *
Blacks who say was not a factor  3   *   *
All other races                  1   *   *

How Important Was Bill Clinton Campaigning To Your WH '08 Choice?

-                   All Cli Oba
Very/somewhat       62% 78% 17%
Not too/not at all  34  38  51

Does Obama Share The Views Of His Former Pastor, Rev. Jeremiah Wright?

-                   All Cli Oba
A lot/somewhat      50% 80% 11%
Not much/not at all 48  48  48

Would You Prefer Your Candidate Get The Nod Even If The Race Continues For Months, Or The Race Ends ASAP Even If Your Candidates Loses?

-                   All Cli Oba
Wins/continues      70% 72% 23%
Loses/ends now      24  44  45

Is Suspending The Federal Gas Tax For The Summer A Good/Bad Idea?

-                   All Cli Oba
Good idea           63% 74% 19%
Bad idea            34  46  46

How Much Has The Current Recession/Economic Slowdown Affected You And Your Family?

-                       All Cli Oba
A great deal/somewhat   89% 66% 27%
Not much/not at all     11  52  39

Religion

-                       All Cli Oba
Protestant/Christian    77% 66% 26%
Catholic                 8  52  45
Jewish                  --   *   *
Other                    6   *   *
None                     9  64  34

How Often Do You Attend Religious Services?

-                   All Cli Oba
Weekly              44% 62% 28%
Occasionally        40  66  28
Never               14  64  34

Geographic Area

-                       All Cli Oba
Charleston Area	        27% 57% 36%
Southwestern WV         26  71  21
Monongahela Valley      14  59  32
Appalachian Highland    18  69  27
Ohio River              15  65  28

Population Of Area

-                   All Cli Oba
City over 50k        4%  *   *
Suburbs             39  61% 32%
Small city/rural    57  67  26

  • Next: Fabulous Forties
  • Previous: Mountain Mama  

5/14/2008 Frontpage

Results

  • 1 NEBRASKA (2/9 DEM CAUCUSES; 5/13 PRIMARY): They Had A Primary Last Night?
  • 2 WEST VIRGINIA (5/13 PRIMARY): Mountain Mama
  • 3 WH EXITS: Charleston Chew
  • 4 DELEGATE TRACKER: Fabulous Forties
  • 5 MISSISSIPPI 01 (R/TUPELO -- WICKER): And It Wasn't Even Close
  • 6 THE NOMINEES: Dems Getting Husk-ey?

White House 2008 -- The Republicans

  • 7 MCCAIN: All Apologies

White House 2008 -- The Democrats

  • 8 THE FIELD: All Dressed Up And Nowhere To Go
  • 9 CLINTON: And So It Went. Like Mick Jagger Reading "War and Peace."
  • 10 OBAMA: Limb-O In Limbaugh Land

White House 2008 -- Other Updates

  • 11 THE FIELD: 86ing the 527s?
  • 12 BARR: Raising The Barr
  • 13 NADER: Oregon And Again And Again
  • 14 GALLUP: T-Racks
  • 15 QUINNIPIAC UNIV.: Is It More Of A Dull Or More Of A Sharp Pain?
  • 16 OREGON POLL (5/20 PRIMARY): Mail Time!
  • 17 OREGON (5/20 PRIMARY): Too Bad "The Volunteer State" Is Already Taken
  • 18 SOUTH DAKOTA (6/3 PRIMARY): Last, But Not Least
  • 19 VEEPSTAKES: Huckabee? Or Not To Be?
  • 20 CONVOS: Thank God They're Bringing Back Zubaz
  • 21 GALLUP: That's Our Gal-lup
  • 22 QUINNIPIAC UNIV.: Obamanation
  • 23 GEORGIA POLL (15 EVS): Hawks And Dove
  • 24 2008 SCHEDULES: You Can't Stop The Beat

National Briefing

  • 25 BLOGOMETER: Same As It Ever Was

Senate 2008

  • 26 GEORGIA POLL: Safe Sax
  • 27 MICHIGAN: There's Beauty In Simplicity
  • 28 MINNESOTA: A Junta-ing We Will Go
  • 29 NEBRASKA: Nowhere Near As Tight As Those Jeans
  • 30 NEW JERSEY: It's All About Money
  • 31 NEW MEXICO: Getting Pushy
  • 32 OREGON POLL: Can I See Some ID?
  • 33 WEST VIRGINIA: Not A Rocky Climb

Governor 2008

  • 34 DELAWARE: C'mon And Take A Free Ride
  • 35 WEST VIRGINIA: The Governor's Manchin

Poll Update

  • 36 LOS ANGELES TIMES/BLOOMBERG: Spending SPRee
  • 37 ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST: Greed Is Good; Oh, Sorry, Did You Mean Geico?
  • 38 GALLUP: I Can Reid The Writing On The Wall...Kodachrome

People

  • 39 BUSH: Misses Emailing, But Not Golfing
  • 40 PAWLENTY: Celibacy Does Wonders For His National Profile
  • 41 FOSSELLA: Romance At The Drunk Tank
  • 42 LATTA: Has An Alarming Family History Of Tooth-Loss
  • 43 KILPATRICK: If The School Play Story Is Any Guide, He's Not Backing Down Any Time Soon
  • 44 DANN: For Some Reason, Wants To Stay In Office
  • 45 O'CONNOR: A New Battle To Fight
  • 46 HAMMONS: Giving Luke Ravenstahl A Run For His Money
  • 47 POLICE LOG: One Is Silverware And The Other's Gold

Media Monitor

  • 48 MEDIA MONITOR: This Morning

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