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GovernmentExecutive.com - Covering The Business Of The Federal Government
Monday, January 3, 2005 : Today's National Polls

Today's polls are compiled by NationalJournal.com staff
and gathered in conjunction with The Hotline.
Questions and polling press releases should be directed
to polls@nationaljournal.com.

Please click here for links to other recently released national polls.

ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST
President Bush, Iraq, Social Security

Conducted 12/16-19/04; surveyed 1,004 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 12/20). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.

Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
Approve strongly                                27%
Approve somewhat                                21
Disapprove somewhat                             12
Disapprove strongly                             38
No opinion                                       2
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling -- ?
The economy:

Approve                                         46%
Disapprove                                      51
No opinion                                       3

The situation in Iraq:

Approve                                         42%
Disapprove                                      57
No opinion                                       1

The U.S. campaign against terrorism:

Approve                                         53%
Disapprove                                      43
No opinion                                       3

Social Security:

Approve                                         38%
Disapprove                                      52
No opinion                                       9

Health care:

Approve                                         37%
Disapprove                                      56
No opinion                                       7
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Rumsfeld is handling his job as secretary of Defense?
Approve                                         35%
Disapprove                                      53
No opinion                                      12
Do you think Rumsfeld should continue as secretary of Defense in Bush's second term, or do you think Bush should replace Rumsfeld with a new secretary of Defense?
Rumsfeld should continue                        36%
Bush should replace Rumsfeld                    52 
No opinion                                      11
All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
Strongly worth fighting                         31%
Somewhat worth fighting                         11
Somewhat not worth fighting                     10
Strongly not worth fighting                     47
No opinion                                       2
Again thinking about the goals versus the costs of the war, so far in your opinion has there been an acceptable or unacceptable number of U.S. military casualties in Iraq?
Acceptable                                      27%
Unacceptable                                    70
No opinion                                       3
Do you think the United States should keep its military forces in Iraq until civil order is restored there, even if that means continued U.S. military casualties; or do you think the United States should withdraw its military forces from Iraq in order to avoid further U.S. military casualties, even if that means civil order is not restored there?
Keep forces                                     58%
Withdraw forces                                 39
No opinion                                       3
Do you think the war with Iraq has or has not contributed to the long-term security of the United States? (If yes) Has it contributed to the long-term security of the United States a great deal or somewhat?
Contributed a great deal                        27%
Contributed somewhat                            23
Has not contributed                             46
No opinion                                       4
(Asked of a half sample) Do you think the United States is or is not making significant progress in establishing a democratic government in Iraq?
Is making significant progress                  48%
Is not making significant progress              44
No opinion                                       8
(Asked of a half sample) Do you think the United States is or is not making significant progress toward restoring civil order in Iraq?
Is making significant progress                  44%
Is not making significant progress              49
No opinion                                       7
As you may know, elections for a new national government in Iraq are scheduled for late January. Do you think Iraq is or is not ready for these elections to be held?
Ready                                           34%
Not ready                                       58
No opinion                                       8
Do you think the Iraqi elections should be held as scheduled or put off until a later date?
Held as scheduled                               60%
Put off until a later date                      34
No opinion                                       6
Do you think these will be honest elections with a fair and accurate vote count or not?
Honest                                          36%
Not honest                                      54
No opinion                                      10
How confident are you that these elections will produce a stable government that can rule Iraq effectively--very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident or not confident at all?
Very confident                                   6%
Somewhat confident                              38
Not too confident                               29
Not at all confident                            25
No opinion                                       2
As you may know, the federal government has enacted legislation to restructure the U.S. intelligence gathering agencies under a new director of national intelligence. Just your best guess, do you think this new system will or will not improve U.S. intelligence-gathering operations? (If yes) Do you think it will improve them a great deal or somewhat?
Yes, a great deal                               18%
Yes, somewhat                                   50
No, will not improve                            23
No opinion                                       9
(Asked of a half sample) On another subject, how confident are you that the votes for president across the country were accurately counted this year -- very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident or not confident at all?
Very confident                                  43%
Somewhat confident                              28
Not too confident                               16
Not at all confident                            13
(Asked of a half sample of respondents who voted) On another subject, how confident are you that your own vote for president was accurately counted this year -- very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident or not confident at all?
Very confident                                  56%
Somewhat confident                              25
Not too confident                                9
Not at all confident                            10
No opinion                                       1
On another subject, what do you think of the nation's Social Security system? Do you think that by the time you retire there will be enough money in the system to pay you the benefits you are entitled to, or do you think there will not be enough money left to pay you benefits?
Enough                                          32%
Not enough                                      63
Not covered (vol.)                               1
No opinion                                       4
Which of the following four statements comes closest to your own view of the Social Security program -- would you say the program is in crisis, the program has major problems but is not in crisis, the program has minor problems or the program has no problems?
Crisis                                          25%
Major problems                                  49
Minor problems                                  23
No problems                                      1
No opinion                                       1
Would you support or oppose a plan in which people who chose to could invest some of their Social Security contributions in the stock market?
Support                                         53%
Oppose                                          44
No opinion                                       3
(Asked of those who said "support" in the previous question) What if setting up a stock-market option for Social Security the government has to borrow as much as two trillion dollars to set it up, with that money to be paid back over time through cost savings from the current system? Would you support or oppose the stock-market option for Social Security if this borrowing was necessary to set it up?
Support                                         46%
Oppose                                          47
No opinion                                       7
People in a plan like this would get higher Social Security benefits if stock market went up but lower Social Security benefits if the stock market went down. Knowing that, would you personally put some of your Social Security money in the stock market or not?
Yes                                             37%
No                                              62
No opinion                                       1
(Asked of those who said "yes" in the previous question) How much of your Social Security money would you put in the stock market -- all of it, most of it, some of it or just a little of it?
All                                              7%
Most                                            11
Some                                            57
Just a little                                   23
No opinion                                       1
On another subject, do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
Legal in all cases                              21%
Legal in most cases                             34
Illegal in most cases                           25
Illegal in all cases                            17
No opinion                                       3
How important is it to you that the next person nominated to join the U.S. Supreme Court agrees with your position on abortion -- is that extremely important to you, very important, somewhat important or less important than that?
Extremely important                             26%
Very important                                  28
Somewhat important                              30
Less important                                  15
No opinion                                       1
When it comes time for Bush to nominate a new justice to the U.S. Supreme Court, do you think he should pick someone who is more of a liberal, moderate or conservative?
Liberal                                         21%
Moderate                                        43
Conservative                                    33
No opinion                                       3
As you may know, the Constitution gives the Senate the power to confirm the president's nominations to the federal courts. Would you say that the Senate should only consider a judge's background, experience and qualifications, or should the Senate also consider a judge's views on such issues as abortion, gun control and affirmative action?
Background, experience, qualifications          35%
Views on issues                                 60
No opinion                                       5
Looking ahead to the next year, are you more hopeful or more fearful about what the year 2005 holds i store for you personally?
More hopeful                                    66%
More fearful                                    30
No opinion                                       4
How about for the world in general? Are you more hopeful or more fearful about what the year 2005 holds in store for the world in general?
More hopeful                                    54%
More fearful                                    43
No opinion                                       2
Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about:
The way things are going in this country:

Optimistic                                      57%
Pessimistic                                     41
No opinion                                       2

The situation in Iraq:

Optimistic                                      46%
Pessimistic                                     51
No opinion                                       2

The state of the national economy:

Optimistic                                      58%
Pessimistic                                     40
No opinion                                       2

The country's ability to defend itself against
terrorist attacks:

Optimistic                                      66%
Pessimistic                                     30
No opinion                                       4

Your own family's financial situation:

Optimistic                                      75%
Pessimistic                                     23
No opinion                                       2

The policies Bush will pursue in his second term
in office:

Optimistic                                      51%
Pessimistic                                     45
No opinion                                       5
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