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Monday, January 3, 2005
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Today's National Polls
Today's polls are compiled by NationalJournal.com staff
and gathered in conjunction with The Hotline.
Questions and polling press releases should be directed
to polls@nationaljournal.com.
Please click here for links to other recently released national polls.
ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST
President Bush, Iraq, Social Security
Conducted 12/16-19/04; surveyed 1,004 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 12/20). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
Do you approve or disapprove of the way George W. Bush is handling his job
as president? Do you approve/disapprove strongly or somewhat?
Approve strongly 27%
Approve somewhat 21
Disapprove somewhat 12
Disapprove strongly 38
No opinion 2
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Bush is handling -- ?
The economy:
Approve 46%
Disapprove 51
No opinion 3
The situation in Iraq:
Approve 42%
Disapprove 57
No opinion 1
The U.S. campaign against terrorism:
Approve 53%
Disapprove 43
No opinion 3
Social Security:
Approve 38%
Disapprove 52
No opinion 9
Health care:
Approve 37%
Disapprove 56
No opinion 7
Do you approve or disapprove of the way Donald Rumsfeld is handling his job as secretary of Defense?
Approve 35%
Disapprove 53
No opinion 12
Do you think Rumsfeld should continue as secretary of Defense in Bush's second term, or do you think Bush should replace Rumsfeld with a new secretary of Defense?
Rumsfeld should continue 36%
Bush should replace Rumsfeld 52
No opinion 11
All in all, considering the costs to the United States versus the benefits to the United States, do you think the war with Iraq was worth fighting or not? Do you feel that way strongly or somewhat?
Strongly worth fighting 31%
Somewhat worth fighting 11
Somewhat not worth fighting 10
Strongly not worth fighting 47
No opinion 2
Again thinking about the goals versus the costs of the war, so far in your opinion has there been an acceptable or unacceptable number of U.S. military casualties in Iraq?
Acceptable 27%
Unacceptable 70
No opinion 3
Do you think the United States should keep its military forces in Iraq until civil order is restored there, even if that means continued U.S. military casualties; or do you think the United States should withdraw its military forces from Iraq in order to avoid further U.S. military casualties, even if that means civil order is not restored there?
Keep forces 58%
Withdraw forces 39
No opinion 3
Do you think the war with Iraq has or has not contributed to the long-term security of the United States? (If yes) Has it contributed to the long-term security of the United States a great deal or somewhat?
Contributed a great deal 27%
Contributed somewhat 23
Has not contributed 46
No opinion 4
(Asked of a half sample) Do you think the United States is or is not making significant progress in establishing a democratic government in Iraq?
Is making significant progress 48%
Is not making significant progress 44
No opinion 8
(Asked of a half sample) Do you think the United States is or is not making significant progress toward restoring civil order in Iraq?
Is making significant progress 44%
Is not making significant progress 49
No opinion 7
As you may know, elections for a new national government in Iraq are scheduled for late January. Do you think Iraq is or is not ready for these elections to be held?
Ready 34%
Not ready 58
No opinion 8
Do you think the Iraqi elections should be held as scheduled or put off until a later date?
Held as scheduled 60%
Put off until a later date 34
No opinion 6
Do you think these will be honest elections with a fair and accurate vote count or not?
Honest 36%
Not honest 54
No opinion 10
How confident are you that these elections will produce a stable government that can rule Iraq effectively--very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident or not confident at all?
Very confident 6%
Somewhat confident 38
Not too confident 29
Not at all confident 25
No opinion 2
As you may know, the federal government has enacted legislation to restructure the U.S. intelligence gathering agencies under a new director of national intelligence. Just your best guess, do you think this new system will or will not improve U.S. intelligence-gathering operations? (If yes) Do you think it will improve them a great deal or somewhat?
Yes, a great deal 18%
Yes, somewhat 50
No, will not improve 23
No opinion 9
(Asked of a half sample) On another subject, how confident are you that the votes for president across the country were accurately counted this year -- very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident or not confident at all?
Very confident 43%
Somewhat confident 28
Not too confident 16
Not at all confident 13
(Asked of a half sample of respondents who voted) On another subject, how confident are you that your own vote for president was accurately counted this year -- very confident, somewhat confident, not too confident or not confident at all?
Very confident 56%
Somewhat confident 25
Not too confident 9
Not at all confident 10
No opinion 1
On another subject, what do you think of the nation's Social Security system? Do you think that by the time you retire there will be enough money in the system to pay you the benefits you are entitled to, or do you think there will not be enough money left to pay you benefits?
Enough 32%
Not enough 63
Not covered (vol.) 1
No opinion 4
Which of the following four statements comes closest to your own view of the Social Security program -- would you say the program is in crisis, the program has major problems but is not in crisis, the program has minor problems or the program has no problems?
Crisis 25%
Major problems 49
Minor problems 23
No problems 1
No opinion 1
Would you support or oppose a plan in which people who chose to could invest some of their Social Security contributions in the stock market?
Support 53%
Oppose 44
No opinion 3
(Asked of those who said "support" in the previous question) What if setting up a stock-market option for Social Security the government has to borrow as much as two trillion dollars to set it up, with that money to be paid back over time through cost savings from the current system? Would you support or oppose the stock-market option for Social Security if this borrowing was necessary to set it up?
Support 46%
Oppose 47
No opinion 7
People in a plan like this would get higher Social Security benefits if stock market went up but lower Social Security benefits if the stock market went down. Knowing that, would you personally put some of your Social Security money in the stock market or not?
Yes 37%
No 62
No opinion 1
(Asked of those who said "yes" in the previous question) How much of your Social Security money would you put in the stock market -- all of it, most of it, some of it or just a little of it?
All 7%
Most 11
Some 57
Just a little 23
No opinion 1
On another subject, do you think abortion should be legal in all cases, legal in most cases, illegal in most cases or illegal in all cases?
Legal in all cases 21%
Legal in most cases 34
Illegal in most cases 25
Illegal in all cases 17
No opinion 3
How important is it to you that the next person nominated to join the U.S. Supreme Court agrees with your position on abortion -- is that extremely important to you, very important, somewhat important or less important than that?
Extremely important 26%
Very important 28
Somewhat important 30
Less important 15
No opinion 1
When it comes time for Bush to nominate a new justice to the U.S. Supreme Court, do you think he should pick someone who is more of a liberal, moderate or conservative?
Liberal 21%
Moderate 43
Conservative 33
No opinion 3
As you may know, the Constitution gives the Senate the power to confirm the president's nominations to the federal courts. Would you say that the Senate should only consider a judge's background, experience and qualifications, or should the Senate also consider a judge's views on such issues as abortion, gun control and affirmative action?
Background, experience, qualifications 35%
Views on issues 60
No opinion 5
Looking ahead to the next year, are you more hopeful or more fearful about what the year 2005 holds i store for you personally?
More hopeful 66%
More fearful 30
No opinion 4
How about for the world in general? Are you more hopeful or more fearful about what the year 2005 holds in store for the world in general?
More hopeful 54%
More fearful 43
No opinion 2
Thinking about the next 12 months, would you say you feel optimistic or pessimistic about:
The way things are going in this country:
Optimistic 57%
Pessimistic 41
No opinion 2
The situation in Iraq:
Optimistic 46%
Pessimistic 51
No opinion 2
The state of the national economy:
Optimistic 58%
Pessimistic 40
No opinion 2
The country's ability to defend itself against
terrorist attacks:
Optimistic 66%
Pessimistic 30
No opinion 4
Your own family's financial situation:
Optimistic 75%
Pessimistic 23
No opinion 2
The policies Bush will pursue in his second term
in office:
Optimistic 51%
Pessimistic 45
No opinion 5
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