The Senate By The Numbers, Part 1
Santorum, Casey, Chafee, Menendez, McCaskill, Talent And More
By Gwen Glazer,
NationalJournal.com
© National Journal Group Inc.
Thursday, Feb. 2, 2006
Pennsylvania and Rhode Island clocked in at the No. 1 and 2 spots of Chuck Todd's new round of Senate Race Rankings, the same as their positions in the last round. But new developments in the races bumped New Jersey and Missouri up the list and pushed a few others below the fold.
This is the first in an occasional series on the Senate races, loosely based on Todd's order. His rankings also include a new feature allowing readers to pick their own top 10 races. Keep an eye out for periodic updates on all the statewide contests.
- Pennsylvania: Todd reports that incumbent Rick Santorum (R) "seems to be finding his sea legs," and GOP pollsters from Strategic Vision find that he's been gaining gradually on Democrat Bob Casey since the fall. The most recent poll still puts him 10 points behind, however, and nonpartisan polls from Franklin and Marshall College and Quinnipiac University each had him behind by 16 points a few months ago. (Campaign Tip Sheet)
- Rhode Island: Partisans are already sharpening their attacks on moderate Republican Lincoln Chafee, with ads from third-party groups already on the air. But in the most recent survey, a Brown University poll from the fall, Chafee is safely ahead of presumptive primary challenger Stephen Laffey (R). A hypothetical general election race against Sheldon Whitehouse (D) showed Chafee winning 38 percent to 25 percent, but 37 percent said they were undecided. (Campaign Tip Sheet)
- New Jersey: A new poll suggests the recently appointed Robert Menendez (D) might have a rough go of it when he seeks his first full term. Quinnipiac University pollsters put him neck-and-neck with potential GOP candidate Tom Kean (R), 38 percent to 36 percent. A Fairleigh Dickinson poll from early January put Kean 11 points ahead, but a 40-percent plurality was undecided. (Campaign Tip Sheet)
- Missouri: Research 2000 pollsters put the Show-Me State candidates statistically tied, with Claire McCaskill (D) at 47 percent and incumbent Jim Talent (R) at 44 percent. McCaskill's favorability split was slightly better, at 52/36; Talent's was 50/42. (Campaign Tip Sheet)
Contests in Montana, Maryland, Ohio and Michigan also made Todd's top 10. See the Campaign 2006 pages for results from most of the Senate contests.
And Poll Track covered the governor races in August and November; check back for more state-poll roundups as the election inches closer.
The Public Pulse -- Latest Opinions At A Glance
The table below offers the latest key national numbers. Click on the number in question for poll details. (Last updated April 2)

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20%
Job approval rating.
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28%
Job approval rating.
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19%
Give the economy a positive rating.
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20%
Say country is going in right direction.
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The above icons represent (left to right) Congress, President Bush, the economy and the direction of the country.
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