August 29, 2008
National Journal MagazineNational Journal MagazineThe HotlineCongress Daily
Poll Track
Click here for a print friendly version

National
Journal Group

Learn more about our publications and sign up for a free trial.

E-Mail Alerts
Get notified the moment your favorite features are updated.

Need A Reprint?
Click here for details on reprints, permissions and back issues.

Advertise With Us
Details on advertising with National Journal Group -- both online and in print -- can be found in our online media kit.

Go Wireless
Get daily political updates on your handheld computer.

GovernmentExecutive.com - Covering The Business Of The Federal Government
When The Center Does Not Hold
Iraqis See No Peace As Long As U.S. Troops Remain

Poll Track
In Today's Poll Track:
ABC/USA/ARD/BBC · CNN/Opinion Research · Newsweek

Other Recent Polling

The Public Pulse: Opinions At A Glance

Polling Archives
Campaigns · Key Issues
People, Institutions & Events

E-Mail Alert
Search Poll Track

Glossary Of Terms
About Poll Track

[an error occurred while processing this directive]

By Jane Roh, NationalJournal.com
© National Journal Group Inc.
Monday, March 19, 2007

In the United States, polling is the province of the academic and the wonkish. But in Iraq, it is a hazardous endeavor, conducted by the nimble and the brave.

In a joint effort by ABC News, USA Today, ARD German TV and the United Kingdom's BBC, 150 Iraqi field workers were dispatched to some of the most restive parts of the country to interview 2,212 adults. Several pollsters reported witnessing bombings and shootings while on the job; others were detained or harassed by the authorities. The survey, conducted in late February through early this month, suggests that Bush administration officials may be the very last men standing behind the war in Iraq.

Iraqis remain more convinced than Americans that the U.S.-led invasion four years ago was the right thing to do: 48 percent of Iraqis said so, compared with 35 percent of respondents in a new CNN/Opinion Research Corporation survey who said the war had been worth the cost. But the situation on the ground remains far from satisfactory for most Iraqis.

Nearly seven in 10 told ABC/USA/ARD/BBC pollsters that reconstruction efforts in their war-torn country had been ineffective, with 82 percent reported having little or no confidence in American and British occupying forces. Nor did Iraqis have much confidence in their local leaders, their national government or their local militia; 45 percent, 49 percent and 36 percent did, respectively. Somewhat surprisingly, the much-derided Iraqi police and Army received higher marks (64 percent and 61 percent, respectively).

Most Iraqis reported living in substandard conditions, both psychologically and physically. Nearly three-quarters said they did not feel safe in their own neighborhoods, and 54 percent said they avoided crowded areas such as markets "to avoid trouble." Nearly seven in 10 said they monitored what they said about themselves to others as a safety precaution, and 81 percent said they avoided U.S. and coalition troops.

Nearly half of Sunnis polled said a car bomb or suicide attack had occurred near their home, and 40 percent reported gunfire nearby. Fewer of the majority Shiites experienced such violence. Four in 10 of the total sample were aware of kidnappings for ransom in their area, and 44 percent knew of unprovoked violence committed by U.S. or coalition forces.

For most Iraqis, fear of attacks on themselves and their loved ones is a regular part of life. Eighty-six percent said they worried about violence hitting home, and nearly half said someone close to them living outside their household had been victimized by the unrest in their country. When asked which group was most responsible for the violence, a 31-percent plurality pointed to the U.S.-led coalition there. Al-Qaida and jihadis from outside Iraq took second place, with 18 percent. A combined 11 percent blamed either Sunni or Shiite militias.

Here in the United States, mounting opposition to the war has taken the form of anger at the Bush administration. A new Newsweek survey shows 61 percent believe the United States is losing its grip in Iraq, and 64 percent remain opposed to President Bush's plan to boost troop levels. The stress of combat has in some cases taken a heavy toll on U.S. soldiers returning from combat. Iraqi civilians, arguably more than any American, seem also to be living pressure-cooker existences.

Three-quarters of respondents reported having trouble sleeping because of the situation in their country. Slightly more said they experienced feelings of depression, 82 percent stated they felt angry, and 72 percent said they had difficulty concentrating on work or routine activities. The business of day-to-day living is exacerbated, respondents said, by scant availability of jobs, electricity, fuel, clean water and medical care; large majorities report shortages where they live. Three-quarters also reported lacking freedom of movement and the freedom to live where they want without persecution.

Nearly eight in 10 Iraqis opposed the presence of coalition troops in Iraq. That is more in tune than not with the sentiments of Americans, nearly 60 percent of whom want troops out by 2008, according to Newsweek's measure.

See the full poll for questions on the kind of government Iraqis envision for themselves. ABC News has accounts of how the poll was conducted on the ground.

The Public Pulse -- Latest Opinions At A Glance
The table below offers the latest key national numbers. Click on the number in question for poll details. (Last updated April 2)
Congressional Job Approval
Bush Job Approval Rating
Economy Positive Rating State Of The Nation
20%
Job approval
rating.

28%
Job approval
rating.

19%
Give the economy a positive rating.
20%
Say country is going in right direction.

The above icons represent (left to right) Congress, President Bush, the economy and the direction of the country.

Search Poll Track
Search the archives of Poll Track using the form below. Note: Do not include connectors ("and," "or," etc.) in your query -- simply enter the keywords you would like to search.

Sign Up For Poll Track's E-Mail Alert
Poll Track's daily roundup of the latest national numbers is available as an HTML e-mail alert (
click here to see a sample). The alert is sent at noon each weekday and available to all NationalJournal.com subscribers. Click here to sign up.

[an error occurred while processing this directive]

Advertisement Advertisement


 NEW FEATURE

Search



[ E-mail NationalJournal.com ]
[ Site Index | Staff | Privacy Policy | E-Mail Alerts ]
[ Reprints And Back Issues | Content Licensing ]
[ Make NationalJournal.com Your Homepage ]
[ About National Journal Group Inc. ]
[ Employment Opportunities ]

Copyright 2008 by National Journal Group Inc.
The Watergate · 600 New Hampshire Ave., NW
Washington, DC 20037
202-739-8400 · fax 202-833-8069
NationalJournal.com is an Atlantic Media publication.