2007 Polling On WH 2008
ABC NEWS
Conducted 8/24-28/07; surveyed 1,011 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 9/4).
Thinking just about Hillary Clinton and Rudy Giuliani, if you worked in a business office, who would you rather have running the company -- Hillary Clinton or Rudy Giuliani? (rotated)
Clinton 45%
Giuliani 42
Either/Neither (vol.) 8
No opinion 6
And if you were driving across country who would you rather have as a traveling companion -- Hillary Clinton or Rudy Giuliani? (rotated)
Clinton 48%
Giuliani 39
Either/Neither (vol.) 9
No opinion 4
ABC NEWS/WASHINGTON POST
Conducted 10/29-11/1/07; surveyed 1,131 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 11/4). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
Thinking ahead to the November 2008 presidential election, what is the single most important issue in your choice for president?
Iraq/War in Iraq 29%
Terrorism/National security 5
Economy/Jobs 14
Education 2
Environment 2
Health care 13
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption in government 4
Immigration/Illegal immigration 5
Abortion 1
Morals/Family values 3
Federal budget deficit 1
Housing/Mortgages *
Global warming *
Social Security 2
Foreign policy 2
Iran/Situation in Iran *
Taxes 1
None/Nothing *
Other 9
No opinion 8
(If mentioned issue) Is there one other issue that's nearly as important?
Iraq/War in Iraq 19%
Terrorism/National security 4
Economy/Jobs 18
Education 5
Environment 2
Health care 15
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption in government 2
Immigration/Illegal immigration 3
Abortion 2
Morals/Family values *
Federal budget deficit *
Housing/Mortgages 1
Global warming *
Social Security 2
Foreign policy 1
Iran/Situation in Iran *
Taxes 2
None/Nothing 7
Other 7
No opinion 9
How closely are you following the 2008 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?
Very closely 21%
Somewhat closely 46
Not too closely 22
Not at all closely 12
No opinion 0
I'd like you to rate the chances that you will vote in the 2008 presidential primary or caucus in your state. Are you absolutely certain to vote, will you probably vote, are the chances 50-50 or less than that?
Certain 69%
Probably 12
50-50 10
Less than 50-50 6
Will not vote (vol.) 3
No primary/Caucus (vol.) *
No opinion 1
Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: strength and experience or a new direction and new ideas? (rotated)
Strength and experience 49%
New direction an ideas 41
Both (vol.) 8
Neither (vol.) 1
No opinion 1
If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (rotated)
Giuliani 46%
Clinton 50
Other (vol.) *
Neither (vol.) 2
Would not vote (vol.) 1
No opinion 1
If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were John McCain, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (rotated)
McCain 43%
Clinton 52
Other (vol.) 1
Neither (vol.) 2
Would not vote (vol.) 1
No opinion 1
If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Fred Thompson, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (rotated)
Thompson 40%
Clinton 56
Other (vol.) *
Neither (vol.) 2
Would not vote (vol.) 1
No opinion 1
If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Mitt Romney, the Republican, and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (rotated)
Romney 39%
Clinton 57
Other (vol.) 1
Neither (vol.) 2
Would not vote (vol.) 1
No opinion 1
Thinking ahead to November 2008, which of these two statements comes closest to your own views: After eight years of George W. Bush, we need to elect a president who can set the nation in a new direction or we need to keep the country moving in the direction Bush has been taking us? (rotated)
New direction, strongly 60%
New direction, somewhat 14
Same direction, somewhat 10
Same direction, strongly 13
Somewhere in between (vol.) 2
Neither (vol.) 1
No opinion 1
Conducted 9/27-30/07; surveyed 1,114 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 10/3). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
If ________ wins the Democratic/Republican nomination for president would you definitely vote for him/her in the general election for president in 2008, would you consider voting for him/her or would you definitely not vote for him/her?
Hillary Clinton:
Definitely would 30%
Would consider 28
Definitely would not 41
No opinion 1
Barack Obama:
Definitely would 21%
Would consider 37
Definitely would not 39
No opinion 3
John Edwards:
Definitely would 16%
Would consider 38
Definitely would not 43
No opinion 3
Rudy Giuliani:
Definitely would 17%
Would consider 36
Definitely would not 44
No opinion 2
John McCain:
Definitely would 13%
Would consider 39
Definitely would not 45
No opinion 3
Mitt Romney:
Definitely would 8%
Would consider 28
Definitely would not 57
No opinion 7
Fred Thompson:
Definitely would 10%
Would consider 29
Definitely would not 54
No opinion 7
If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, the Republican and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (rotated)
Rudy Giuliani 43%
Hillary Clinton 51
Other (vol.) *
Neither (vol.) 3
Will not vote (vol.) 2
No opinion *
In general do you think most of the presidential campaigns are engaging in improper fundraising, or are sticking to the rules on fundraising? (rotated)
Engaging in improper fundraising 48%
Sticking to fundraising rules 40
Depends (vol.) 3
No opinion 9
Conducted 9/27-30/07; surveyed 1,114 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 10/3). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
How closely are you following the 2008 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?
Very closely 21%
Somewhat closely 48
Not too closely 21
Not at all closely 10
No opinion *
Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: strength and experience or a new direction and new ideas? (rotated)
Strength and experience 52%
New direction and new ideas 40
Both (vol.) 7
Neither (vol.) 1
No opinion 1
Conducted 9/27-30/07; surveyed 1,114 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 10/1).
Thinking ahead to the next presidential election, do you think a Democratic or a Republican president would do a better job resolving the situation in Iraq?
Democratic 51%
Republican 31
Depends (vol.) 6
No difference (vol.) 8
No opinion 4
Conducted 9/4-7/07; surveyed 1,002 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 9/10). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
Thinking ahead to the November 2008 presidential election, what is the single most important issue in your choice for president?
Iraq/War in Iraq 35%
Terrorism/National security 6
Economy/Jobs 11
Education 1
Environment 1
Health care 13
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption in government 6
Immigration/Illegal immigration 5
Abortion 1
Morals/Family values 2
Federal budget deficit 1
Housing/Mortgages *
Global warming *
Social Security 1
Foreign policy 1
None/Nothing *
Other 7
No opinion 9
(If mentioned issue) Is there one other issue that's nearly as important?
Iraq/War in Iraq 20%
Terrorism/National security 3
Economy/Jobs 19
Education 6
Environment 1
Health care 15
Ethics/Honesty/Corruption in government 1
Immigration/Illegal immigration 5
Abortion 1
Morals/Family values 2
Federal budget deficit 3
Housing/Mortgages *
Global warming 1
Social Security 2
Foreign policy 1
None/Nothing 4
Other 5
No opinion 10
Conducted 7/18-21/07; surveyed 1,125 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 7/25). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
If a candidate for president supports the Bush administration's policies in Iraq, would that make you more likely to support that candidate for president, more likely to oppose that candidate or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote? (rotated)
More likely to support 16%
More likely to oppose 47
Wouldn't make much difference 37
No opinion *
Conducted 7/18-21/07; surveyed 1,125 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 7/23). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
If you honestly assessed yourself, thinking in general about ________ president of the United States, is that something you'd be entirely comfortable with, somewhat comfortable, somewhat uncomfortable or entirely uncomfortable?
A woman:
Entirely comfortable 54%
Somewhat comfortable 25
Somewhat uncomfortable 9
Entirely uncomfortable 10
No opinion 1
An African-American:
Entirely comfortable 56%
Somewhat comfortable 30
Somewhat uncomfortable 7
Entirely uncomfortable 5
No opinion 1
An Hispanic:
Entirely comfortable 44%
Somewhat comfortable 31
Somewhat uncomfortable 11
Entirely uncomfortable 13
No opinion 2
How closely are you following the 2008 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?
Very closely 22%
Somewhat closely 48
Not too closely 20
Not at all closely 10
No opinion *
Which of these is more important to you in a candidate for president: strength and experience or a new direction and new ideas? (rotated)
Strength and experience 50%
New direction and new ideas 41
Both (vol.) 6
Neither (vol.) *
No opinion 2
Do you happen to have watched any of the recent debates between the candidates running for president or not?
Yes 27%
No 73
No opinion *
(If "No") Why not -- is it mainly because you're just not that interested, because it's too early in the campaign, because you've already decided who to support or for some other reason? (rotated)
Not that interested 9%
Too early in campaign 47
Already decided who to support 7
Other reason 37
No opinion *
Conducted 5/29-6/1/07; surveyed 1,205 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 6/4). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
(Asked of leaned Republicans) On another subject: I'm going to read a few attributes that might be found in a candidate for president. Please tell me if each would make you more likely to vote for that candidate for president, less likely to vote for that candidate or if it wouldn't matter. (rotated)
Someone who is a Mormon:
More 5%
Less 30
Wouldn't matter 64
No opinion 1
Someone who is over age 72:
More 3%
Less 43
Wouldn't matter 54
No opinion 0
(If "less likely") Is there a chance you'd vote for a Mormon for president or no chance?
Chance 41%
No chance 49
Depends (vol.) 10
No opinion 0
How closely are you following the 2008 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?
Very closely 18%
Somewhat closely 48
Not too closely 22
Not at all closely 13
No opinion *
If a candidate for president supports the Bush administration's policies in Iraq, would that make you more likely to support that candidate for president, more likely to oppose that candidate or wouldn't it make much difference in your vote? (rotated)
More likely to support 19%
More likely to oppose 41
Wouldn't make much difference 40
No opinion 1
Conducted 4/12-15/07; surveyed 1,141 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 4/18). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
How closely are you following the 2008 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?
Very closely 20%
Somewhat closely 45
Not too closely 20
Not at all closely 14
No opinion *
If a candidate for president has been treated for cancer, but is now in remission, would that make you more likely to vote for that candidate for president, or less likely to vote for that candidate or wouldn't it matter?
More likely 1%
Less likely 9
Wouldn't matter 89
No opinion 1
If ________ wins the Democratic/Republican nomination for president would you definitely vote for (him/her) in the general election for president in 2008, would you consider voting for him/her or would you definitely not vote for him/her?
Hillary Clinton:
Definitely would 27%
Would consider 26
Definitely would not 45
No opinion 1
Barack Obama:
Definitely would 20%
Would consider 40
Definitely would not 36
No opinion 5
John Edwards:
Definitely would 18%
Would consider 45
Definitely would not 35
No opinion 3
Rudy Giuliani:
Definitely would 17%
Would consider 40
Definitely would not 40
No opinion 2
John McCain:
Definitely would 12%
Would consider 39
Definitely would not 47
No opinion 2
Mitt Romney:
Definitely would 7%
Would consider 32
Definitely would not 54
No opinion 8
It appears that in 2008 a large number of states will hold their presidential primaries earlier in the year than ever before. Do you think this will make the nominating system better, make it worse or won't it make much difference?
Better 20%
Worse 14
Won't make much difference 63
No opinion 3
Conducted 2/22-25/07; surveyed 1,082 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 2/27). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
How closely are you following the 2008 presidential race: very closely, somewhat closely, not too closely or not closely at all?
Very closely 20%
Somewhat closely 44
Not too closely 25
Not at all 10
No opinion *
What's more important to you: supporting the presidential candidate in your party who you agree with most on the issues, or the candidate who's most likely to win in November 2008? (rotated)
Agree on most issues 85%
Most likely to win 13
Same person *
Neither 1
Both 1
No opinion 1
Conducted 2/22-25/07; surveyed 1,082 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 2/27). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
On another subject: I'm going to read a few attributes that might be found in a candidate for president. Please tell me if each would make you more likely to vote for that candidate for president, or less likely) to vote for that candidate, or if it wouldn't matter. (rotated)
Somone who is a woman:
More 14%
Less 13
Wouldn't matter 72
No opinion 1
Someone who is black:
More 7%
Less 6
Wouldn't matter 87
No opinion *
Someone who is a Mormon:
More 4%
Less 29
Wouldn't matter 66
No opinion 1
Someone who is over age 72:
More 3%
Less 58
Wouldn't matter 39
No opinion *
Someone who has been divorced twice:
More 3%
Less 26
Wouldn't matter 71
No opinion 1
Someone who smokes cigarettes:
More 2%
Less 21
Wouldn't matter 77
No opinion *
(If less likely to vote for a Mormon) Is there a chance you'd vote for a Mormon for president, or no chance?
Yes 34%
No 60
Depends (vol.) 5
No opinion *
(If less likely to vote for a Mormon) You said you'd be less likely to vote for someone who's a Mormon. Why do you say so -- what's the main reason?
Disagree with/Uncomfortable with/Dislike
Mormonism 39%
Don't know enough about Mormons 12
Worry about influence of Mormon Church 11
Not true Christians 7
Multiple wives/Polygamy 6
Too conservative 6
Too much like a cult 3
Prefer a specific non-Mormon candidate 2
Discriminate against minorities 1
Discriminate against women 1
Other 6
No opinion 6
(If less likely to vote for a woman) You said you'd be less likely to vote for someone who's a woman. Why do you say so -- what's the main reason?
Don't think a woman can do the job 31%
Think a man would be better 27
Don't like Hillary Clinton 15
Weak on security 3
Don't know of any qualified women 9
Prefer a specific male candidate 3
Other 10
No opinion 2
Conducted 1/16-19/07; surveyed 1,000 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 1/22). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
On another subject: do you have a favorable or unfavorable impression of ________?
Hillary Clinton:
Favorable, strongly 31%
Favorable, somewhat 23
Unfavorable, somewhat 14
Unfavorable, strongly 30
No opinion 3
John McCain:
Favorable 49%
Unfavorable 35
No opinion 16
Barack Obama:
Favorable 45%
Unfavorable 29
No opinion 25
Rudy Giuliani:
Favorable 61%
Unfavorable 29
No opinion 10
Bill Clinton:
Favorable 61%
Unfavorable 37
No opinion 2
(Asked of "leaned" Democrats) If the 2008 Democratic presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: Hillary Clinton, John Edwards, Barack Obama, John Kerry, Al Gore, Wesley Clark, Tom Vilsack, Bill Richardson, Joe Biden, Chris Dodd, Dennis Kucinich, or Mike Gravel, for whom would you vote? (rotated)
Hillary Clinton 41%
John Edwards 11
Barack Obama 17
John Kerry 8
Al Gore 10
Wesley Clark 1
Tom Vilsack *
Evan Bayh 0
Bill Richardson 1
Joe Biden 3
Chris Dodd *
Dennis Kucinich 1
Mike Gravel *
Other (vol.) 1
None of these (vol.) 2
Would not vote (vol.) *
No opinion 3
(Asked of "leaned" Republicans) If the 2008 Republican presidential primary or caucus in your state were being held today, and the candidates were: Rudy Giuliani, John McCain, Mitt Romney, Newt Gingrich, Chuck Hagel, Tommy Thompson, Mike Huckabee, Duncan Hunter, George Pataki, Sam Brownback, Tom Tancredo, Jim Gilmore, or Ron Paul, for whom would you vote?
Rudy Giuliani 34%
John McCain 27
Mitt Romney 9
Newt Gingrich 9
Chuck Hagel *
Tommy Thompson 1
Mike Huckabee 1
Duncan Hunter *
George Pataki 2
Sam Brownback 1
Tom Tancredo 1
Jim Gilmore 1
Ron Paul 1
Other (vol.) *
None of these (vol.) 2
Would not vote (vol.) 1
No opinion 9
If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, the Republican and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (rotated)
Rudy Giuliani 47%
Hillary Clinton 49
Other (vol.) 0
Neither (vol.) 2
Will not votw (vol.) *
No opinion 1
If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were Rudy Giuliani, the Republican and Barack Obama, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (rotated)
Rudy Giuliani 49%
Barack Obama 45
Other (vol.) *
Neither (vol.) 3
Will not votw (vol.) 1
No opinion 2
If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were John McCain, the Republican and Hillary Clinton, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (rotated)
John McCain 45%
Hillary Clinton 50
Other (vol.) *
Neither (vol.) 3
Will not votw (vol.) 1
No opinion 1
If the 2008 presidential election were being held today and the candidates were John McCain, the Republican and Barack Obama, the Democrat, for whom would you vote? (rotated)
John McCain 45%
Barack Obama 47
Other (vol.) *
Neither (vol.) 3
Will not votw (vol.) 1
No opinion 3
ASSOCIATED PRESS/IPSOS PUBLIC AFFAIRS
Conducted 10/16-18/07; surveyed 1,013 adults; margin of error +/-3.1% (release, 10/29).
Which Halloween costume do you think would be scariest? A costume made to look like ________?
Hillary Clinton 37%
Rudy Giuliani 14
Fred Thompson 6
John McCain 6
Barack Obama 6
Mitt Romney 5
John Edwards 2
Don't know/Not sure 24
Conducted 9/21-25/07; surveyed 1,317 adults; margin of error +/-2.7% (release, 10/3). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
Who would do a better job of representing the interests of blacks in the United States?
Black
All Only
Barack Obama 50% 51%
Hillary Clinton 28 39
Don't know 16 9
Neither/No answer 6 1
Conducted 6/4-6/07; surveyed 1,000 adults; margin of error +/-3.1% (release, 6/11). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
(If selected a candidate above) Why do you say you would vote for that candidate? (open-ended)
Experience mentions (Net) 25%
Experience 11
Good track record/Past results 8
Political background 4
Foreign policy/International relationships 3
Military service 2
All other experience mentions 1
Stand on specific issues (Net) 23
Concerned about the war/Getting out of
Iraq 8
Concerned with the environment 6
Concerned with health care 5
Ability to make the economy stronger 4
Concerned with Immigration/Border patrol
issues 2
Concerns for education 1
Concerns for social issues 1
Pro-life/Anti-abortion 1
Concerns for terrorism 1
Concerns for the elderly/Social Security 0
Concerned for domestic issues 0
Homeland security/Protection 0
All other stand on specific issues mentions 5
Strong character mentions (Net) 17
Honesty/Trustworthy/Truthful 9
Integrity/Good character 4
Stands up for his/Her beliefs 2
Follows through/Does what they say they
will do 1
Dependable/Reliable 0
Faith/Believes in God 0
Morality/Ethics 0
All other strong character mentions 2
Leadership qualities mentions (Net) 17
Ability to handle crisis 5
Strong 4
Vision/Clear plan 3
Leadership 2
Good communication 2
Ability to solve problems 0
Ability to make decisions 0
Confidence/Belief in themselves 0
All other leadership qualities mentions 2
I agree with this candidate/Agree with
his/Her views 16
Ability to do the job right/Good/
Responsible 10
Intelligence/Knowledge/Common sense 9
Familiar with him 6
Good/Best candidate 5
New/Fresh face 5
I like him/Her(unspecified) 5
Compassion/Considerate mentions (Net) 3
Concerned for the common person/Middle
class 2
Ability to listen 0
Concerns for family 0
Caring/Compassionate 0
All other compassion/Considerate mentions 0
Female/Want a woman in the White House 3
Conservative 3
Has been (unofficially) elected before 1
Dislike another candidate 1
Other 7
Nothing/Don't know 4
Conducted 4/17-19/07; surveyed 996 adults; margin of error +/-3.1% (release, 4/20). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
Would you be more or less likely to support a candidate for president who favors stricter gun control laws?
Much more likely 31%
Somewhat more likely 23
Somewhat less likely 11
Much less likely 21
Would not make a difference (vol.) 11
Don't know/Not sure 3
ASSOCIATED PRESS/PEW RESEARCH CENTER
Conducted 11/20-26/07; surveyed 1,399 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 12/7).
How much thought, if any, have you given to candidates who may be running for president in 2008?
A lot 45%
Some 35
Not much 13
None at all 7
Don't know/Refused 1
How closely have you been following news about candidates for the 2008 presidential election: very closely, fairly closely, not too closely or not at all closely?
Very closely 24%
Fairly closely 50
Not too closely 21
Not at all closely 5
How would you describe the presidential election campaign so far -- is it interesting to you, or would you say it is dull?
Interesting 45%
Dull 51
Neither (vol.) 3
Don't know/Refused 2
So far in the primary campaign, have you ________?
Received mail about one or more of the candidates:
Yes 28%
No 69
Don't know/Refused 3
Received e-mail about one or more of the
candidates:
Yes 17%
No 81
Don't know/Refused 3
Been visited at home by someone talking about
the campaign:
Yes 2%
No 98
Received pre-recorded telephone calls about the
campaign:
Yes 24%
No 75
Don't know/Refused 2
Received a phone call from a live person about
the campaign:
Yes 9%
No 90
Don't know/Refused 1
Contributed money to any of the presidential
candidates:
Yes 10%
No 90
Attended a campaign event:
Yes 4%
No 95
(If received pre-recorded calls) When you receive pre-recorded telephone calls about the campaign, do you usually listen to them or usually hang up?
Listen 32%
Hang up 65
Don't know/Refused 4
(If "hang up") Would you say these pre-recorded calls make you angry, or are they just a minor annoyance?
Makes me angry 24%
Minor annoyance 76
(If received live calls) When you receive telephone calls from a live person about the campaign, do you usually listen to them or usually hang up?
Listen 52%
Hang up 37
Don't know/Refused 11
(If Internet user) So far in the primary campaign, have you ________?
Visited any of the candidate's websites:
Yes 17%
No 63
Watched video clips about the candidates or the
election that are available online:
Yes 28%
No 53
Visited a social network site like Facebook or
MySpace to get information about a candidate
or signed up as a "friend" for a candidate or
group:
Yes 7%
No 74
We are interested in different ways people learn about presidential candidates. For each item I read please tell me how helpful it has been to you so far in deciding which candidate to vote for?
The candidates' commercials:
Very helpful 5%
Somewhat helpful 24
Not too helpful 30
Not at all helpful 35
Don't know/Refused 7
The presidential debates:
Very helpful 26%
Somewhat helpful 42
Not too helpful 14
Not at all helpful 13
Don't know/Refused 5
What you have seen or read in the news:
Very helpful 27%
Somewhat helpful 54
Not too helpful 10
Not at all helpful 7
Don't know/Refused 1
Not including this one, have you participated in any other polls about the presidential campaigns this year or not?
Yes, once 3%
Yes, twice 2
Yes, three times or more 2
No 93
CBS NEWS
Conducted 10/12-16/07; surveyed 1,282 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 10/25).
(Asked of registered voters) Thinking about your vote for president next year, how important is it that a candidate shares your religious beliefs -- is it very important, somewhat important, not very important, or not at all important?
All Rep Dem Ind
Very important 20% 29% 16% 15%
Somewhat important 30 35 27 30
Not very important 24 20 29 22
Not at all important 25 16 28 32
Don't know/No answer 1 0 1 1
Conducted 10/12-16/07; surveyed 1,282 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 10/18).
(Asked of registered voters) If the November 2008 election for President were being held today, would you probably vote for the Republican candidate or would you probably vote for the Democratic candidate?
White
All Evangelicals
Republican 33% 60%
Democratic 48 21
Other (vol.) 1 0
Depends (vol.) 9 13
Don't know/NA 9 6
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?
White
All Evangelicals
A lot 24% 18%
Some 52 54
Not much 19 21
None at all 5 6
(Asked of registered voters) Which one issue would you most like to hear the candidates for president discuss during the 2008 presidential campaign?
White
All Evangelicals
War in Iraq 26% 20%
Health Care 25 23
Economy/Jobs 11 7
Immigration 6 8
Education 3 2
Environment 2 0
Social Security 2 3
Defense/Military 2 3
Terrorism (general) 2 2
Abortion 1 2
Other 12 17
Don't know/NA 8 13
(Asked of registered voters) From what you have seen or heard, do you think any of the candidates are talking about that issue? (If "yes") Which party's candidates are talking about it more, the Democrats or the Republicans?
White
All Evangelicals
Yes, Democrats are 35% 24%
Yes, Republicans are 9 10
Yes, both equally 10 12
Yes, not sure which party 5 6
No, none 33 35
Don't know/NA 8 13
(Asked of registered voters) Compared to past presidential elections, how would you describe your level of enthusiasm about voting in the 2008 presidential election next year -- are you more enthusiastic than usual, less enthusiastic or about the same as usual?
White
All Evangelicals
More enthusiastic 28% 16%
Less enthusiastic 24 40
Same (vol.) 47 43
Don't know/NA 1 1
(Asked of white evangelical voters) Next year, are you more likely to vote in a Democratic presidential primary or caucus, or a Republican primary or caucus or aren't you likely to vote in a primary or caucus at all?
White
Evangelicals
Democratic primary 20%
Republican primary 59
Not likely to vote 9
Never vote (vol.) 1
Don't know/NA 11
Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does not share your views on social issues like abortion or same-sex marriage, or are these social issues so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you?
White
All Evangelicals
Yes, would vote 50% 29%
No, would not vote 41 60
Depends (vol.) 6 8
Don't know/NA 3 3
Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does not share your views on the war in Iraq, or is that issue so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you?
White
All Evangelicals
Yes, would vote 35% 42%
No, would not vote 55 45
Depends (vol.) 5 9
Don't know/NA 5 4
How important to you is it that a presidential candidate pledge not to raise taxes? Is that extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too important?
White
All Evangelicals
Extremely important 18% 16%
Very important 25 29
Somewhat important 33 34
Not too important 23 19
Don't know/NA 1 2
How important will social issues such as abortion and same sex marriage be in your vote for president next year -- extremely important, very important, somewhat important, or not too important?
White
All Evangelicals
Extremely important 22% 42%
Very important 23 32
Somewhat important 32 16
Not too important 22 8
Don't know/NA 1 2
(Asked of registered voters) How important will the war in Iraq be in your vote for president next year -- extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not too important?
White
All Evangelicals
Extremely important 37% 28%
Very important 42 44
Somewhat important 17 25
Not too important 3 2
Don't know/NA 1 1
How important will the environment and global warming be in your vote for president next year -- extremely important, very important, somewhat important or not too important?
White
All Evangelicals
Extremely important 23% 12%
Very important 32 31
Somewhat important 28 30
Not too important 16 27
Don't know/NA 1 0
(Asked of registered voters) Thinking about your vote for president next year, how important is it that a candidate shares your religious beliefs -- is it very important, somewhat important, not very important or not at all important?
White
All Evangelicals
Very important 20% 39%
Somewhat important 30 45
Not very important 24 12
Not at all important 25 4
Don't know/NA 1 0
Conducted 8/8-12/07; surveyed 1,214 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 8/14).
Do you think the candidates for president should be judged on both their political record and their personal life or should they be judged only on their political record?
All Rep Dem Ind
Both 46% 58% 39% 45%
Only on political record 52 42 60 51
Don't know/NA 2 0 1 4
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much or no attention so far?
All Rep Dem Ind
A lot 19% 19% 21% 17%
Some 44 49 46 38
Not much 27 24 29 28
None at all 9 8 4 15
Don't know/NA 1 0 0 2
(If "a lot" or "some") We're interested in why people are paying a lot of or some attention to the presidential campaign. What is the main reason you are paying attention to the campaign now?
All Rep Dem Ind
General interest in campaign 36% 48% 28% 33%
Important election/Vote 22 20 17 29
Like the candidates 9 8 12 6
Change 9 3 12 6
Lots of media coverage 7 7 5 9
War in Iraq (general) 4 3 6 3
Like/Support a specific
candidate 4 3 5 3
Excited Bush is leaving 3 2 4 3
Democrats could win 2 0 5 1
Other 2 5 5 5
Don't know/NA 2 1 1 2
(Asked of registered voters) Do you think a president should be someone who will try new ways of solving the country's problems or would you be more comfortable with someone who will follow generally familiar approaches and try to do them better?
All Rep Dem Ind
Try new ways 63% 50% 71% 65%
Follow familiar approaches 24 38 17 22
Both (vol.) 8 5 10 9
Don't know/NA 5 7 2 4
Which will matter more in deciding how you vote for president next year -- foreign policy issues or domestic issues?
All Rep Dem Ind
Foreign policy 21% 25% 20% 19%
Domestic 60 59 59 62
Both equal (vol.) 17 14 20 14
Don't know/NA 2 2 1 5
Which one is more important to you in a presidential candidate -- having the right experience or having fresh ideas?
All Rep Dem Ind
Right experience 44% 62% 41% 35%
Fresh ideas 41 27 41 50
Both (vol.) 13 9 16 12
Don't know/NA 2 2 2 3
Conducted 6/26-28/07; surveyed 836 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 6/29). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
Is your opinion of Mike Bloomberg favorable, not favorable, undecided or haven't you heard enough about Mike Bloomberg yet to have an opinion?
All Rep Dem Ind
Favorable 10% 11% 10% 9%
Not favorable 8 10 7 7
Undecided 19 21 20 17
Haven't heard enough 62 57 62 66
Refused 1 1 1 1
(Asked of registered voters) How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much or no attention so far?
All Rep Dem Ind
A lot 25% 31% 22% 23%
Some 46 39 50 48
Not much 23 24 22 23
None at all 6 6 6 5
Don't know/NA 0 0 0 1
(Asked of registered voters) If the 2008 election for president were being held today, would you probably vote for the Republican candidate or would you probably vote for the Democratic candidate?
All Rep Dem Ind
Republican 28% 76% 2% 19%
Democratic 55 7 93 53
Other (vol.) 1 0 0 2
Won't vote (vol.) 0 1 0 0
Depends (vol.) 7 11 1 11
Don't know/NA 9 5 4 15
Do you think most people you know would vote for a presidential candidate who is Mormon or not?
All Rep Dem Ind
Would 32% 36% 29% 32%
Would not 43 42 44 43
Don't know/NA 25 22 27 25
(Asked of registered voters) Do you think most people you know would vote for a presidential candidate who is a woman or not?
All Rep Dem Ind
Would 56% 41% 62% 62%
Would not 34 49 29 27
Don't know/NA 10 10 9 11
(Asked of registered voters) Do you think it is appropriate for political candidates to talk about their religious beliefs as part of their political campaigns or do you think this is not appropriate?
All Rep Dem Ind
Appropriate 50% 65% 41% 48
Not appropriate 48 32 57 51
Don't know/NA 2 3 2 1
Do you think it is appropriate for religious leaders to urge people to vote for or against a political candidate or is that not appropriate?
All Rep Dem Ind
Appropriate 27% 41% 21% 22%
Not appropriate 70 58 77 72
Don't know/NA 3 1 2 6
(Asked of registered voters) Thinking about your vote for president next year, how important is it that a candidate shares your religious beliefs -- is it very important, somewhat important, not very important or not at all important?
All Rep Dem Ind
Very important 15% 30% 7% 12%
Somewhat important 23 28 23 18
Not very important 23 20 27 21
Not at all important 38 21 42 48
Don't know/Refused 1 1 1 1
How important is it for a candidate to have strong religious beliefs, regardless of whether those beliefs are the same as yours -- is it very important, somewhat important, not very important or not at all important.
All Rep Dem Ind
Very important 27% 43% 23% 20%
Somewhat important 36 35 35 36
Not very important 16 12 19 17
Not at all important 20 7 23 27
Don't know/Refused 1 3 0 0
Conducted 4/9-12/07; surveyed 994 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 4/13).
(Asked of registered voters) Do you think the candidates for President should be judged on both their political record and their personal life, or should they be judged only on their political record?
All Rep Dem Ind
Both 49% 65% 34% 52%
Only on political record 49 34 65 45
Don't know/NA 2 1 1 3
(Asked of registered voters) How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much or no attention so far?
All Rep Dem Ind
A lot 25% 27% 25% 22%
Some 51 47 54 52
Not much 20 23 19 19
No attention 4 3 2 7
Don't know/NA 0 0 0 0
(Asked of registered voters) If a presidential candidate were 70 years old or older, would that make a difference in whether or not you would vote for him or her? If so, would it make you more likely or less likely to vote for him or her?
All Rep Dem Ind
Yes, more likely 1% 0% 1% 1%
Yes, less likely 36 29 44 32
No difference 60 66 52 63
Depends (vol.) 3 4 2 3
Don't know 0 1 1 1
(Asked of registered voters) If a presidential candidate has been divorced more than once, would that make a difference in whether or not you would vote for him or her? If so, would that make you more likely or less likely to vote for him or her?
All Rep Dem Ind
Yes, more likely 1% 0% 1% 1%
Yes, less likely 18 26 13 16
No difference 77 69 81 81
Depends (vol.) 3 3 4 2
Don't know/NA 1 2 1 0
How much attention do you pay to reports about how much money a presidential candidate is able to raise -- a lot, some, not much or no attention so far?
All Rep Dem Ind
A lot 21% 21% 24% 19%
Some 34 39 33 32
Not much 21 24 19 21
No attention 21 15 22 27
Don't know/NA 3 1 2 1
Does the amount of money a candidate is able to raise affect your view of a candidate, or doesn't it have any effect on your view of a candidate?
All Rep Dem Ind
Yes, affects 22% 20% 25% 20%
No effect 73 77 70 73
Depends (vol.) 3 2 3 3
Don't know/NA 2 1 2 4
In general, are you personally bothered or not bothered by the amount of money the 2008 presidential candidates have raised so far for their presidential campaigns?
All Rep Dem Ind
Yes, bothered 38% 36% 40% 36%
No, not bothered 56 59 56 53
Don't know/NA 6 5 4 11
Conducted 2/8-11/07; surveyed 1,142 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 2/17).
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 Presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much, or no attention so far?
All Rep Dem Ind
A lot 26% 27% 29% 22%
Some 42 43 42 41
Not much 22 23 23 22
No attention so far 10 7 7 16
Don't know/NA 0 0 0 0
Conducted 2/8-11/07; surveyed 1,142 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 2/13).
(Asked of registered voters) If the Republican Party nominated a Mormon for President, would you vote for that person if he or she were qualified for the job?
All Rep Dem Ind
Yes 63% 68% 52% 71%
No 27 22 39 18
Don't know/NA 10 10 9 11
(Asked of registered voters) If the Democratic Party nominated a Mormon for President, would you vote for that person if he or she were qualified for the job?
All Rep Dem Ind
Yes 66% 53% 71% 72%
No 24 37 18 18
Don't know/NA 10 10 11 10
Is your opinion of Mitt Romney favorable, not favorable, undecided, or haven't you heard enough about Mitt Romney yet to have an opinion?
All Rep Dem Ind
Favorable 6% 13% 2% 5%
Not favorable 8 7 10 8
Undecided 13 16 11 13
Haven't heard enough 72 64 77 72
Refused 1 0 0 2
Conducted 2/8-11/07; surveyed 1,142 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 2/12).
(Asked of registered voters) In deciding how to vote for President next year, how much will your vote be influenced by a candidate's position on the war? 1. It is the single most important issue; or 2. it is important, but so are other issues; or 3. It won't influence my vote.
All Rep Dem Ind
Most important 14% 12% 16% 13%
Important, but so are others 73 71 74 73
Won't influence 13 17 10 12
Don't know/NA 0 0 0 2
In deciding how to vote for President next year, would you say you will 1. only consider voting for a candidate who supports the Iraq war; or 2. only consider voting for a candidate who opposes the Iraq war; or 3. it will depend on other issues?
All Rep Dem Ind
Only supports 9% 22% 0% 6%
Only opposes 15 3 30 11
Other issues 75 74 69 83
Don't know/NA 1 1 1 0
Conducted 1/18-21/07; surveyed 1,168 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 1/22).
(Asked of registered voters) If the Republican Party nominated a woman for president, would you vote for her if she were qualified for the job?
All Rep Dem Ind
Yes 77% 84% 65% 85%
No 18 13 30 10
Don't know/NA 5 3 5 5
(Asked of registered voters) If the Democratic Party nominated a woman for president, would you vote for her if she were qualified for the job?
All Rep Dem Ind
Yes 82% 61% 95% 85%
No 13 33 2 10
Don't know/NA 5 6 3 5
(Asked of registered voters) If the Republican Party nominated a black candidate for president, would you vote for that person if he or she were qualified for the job?
All Rep Dem Ind
Yes 85% 92% 74% 89%
No 11 6 21 7
Don't know/NA 4 2 5 4
(Asked of registered voters) If the Democratic Party nominated a black candidate for president, would you vote for that person if he or she were qualified for the job?
All Rep Dem Ind
Yes 87% 73% 92% 93%
No 9 23 3 5
Don't know/NA 4 4 5 2
Suppose the race for the Democratic Party's presidential nomination in 2008 comes down to a choice between Hillary Rodham Clinton and Barack Obama. Who would you most like to see nominated -- Clinton or Obama, or neither of these two candidates?
All Rep Dem Ind
Clinton 33% 13% 51% 29%
Obama 30 36 27 28
Neither/Other 24 40 10 26
Undecided (vol.) 8 7 8 10
Don't know/NA 5 4 4 7
CBS NEWS/NEW YORK TIMES
Conducted 9/4-9/07; surveyed 1,263 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 9/17).
Do you think most people you know will be more likely to vote for a presidential candidate because a celebrity has endorsed him or her, less likely to vote for a presidential candidate because a celebrity has endorsed him or her or won't that matter to people one way or the other?
All Rep Dem Ind
More likely to vote 11% 13% 7% 11%
Less likely to vote 9 15 8 6
Won't matter 78 71 80 82
Don't know/NA 2 1 5 1
Conducted 9/4-9/07; surveyed 1,263 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 9/10).
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much or no attention so far?
All Rep Dem Ind
A lot 19% 18% 25% 15%
Some 42 43 41 44
Not much 28 34 24 28
None at all 10 5 11 13
Don't know/NA 1 0 0 0
Do you think the candidates for president should be judged on both their political record and their personal life or should they be judged only on their political record?
All Rep Dem Ind
Both 53% 64% 48% 49%
Only on political record 46 36 51 49
Don't know/NA 1 0 1 2
(Asked of registered voters) If the 2008 election for president were being held today, would you probably vote for the Republican candidate or would you probably vote for the Democratic candidate?
All Rep Dem Ind
Republican 32% 80% 2% 16%
Democratic 48 7 87 47
Other (vol.) 1 0 0 2
Won't vote (vol.) 1 0 0 4
Depends (vol.) 10 7 5 19
Don't know/NA 8 6 6 12
Do you think being mayor of a large city is the right kind of experience for becoming president of the United States or not?
All Rep Dem Ind
Right experience 48% 56% 38% 51%
Not right experience 44 36 54 42
Don't know/NA 8 8 8 7
(Asked of registered voters) Do you think being a U.S. senator is the right kind of experience for becoming president of the United States or not?
All Rep Dem Ind
Right experience 80% 78% 80% 81%
Not right experience 15 17 13 14
Don't know/NA 5 5 7 5
Do you think being a governor is the right kind of experience for becoming president of the United States or not?
All Rep Dem Ind
Right experience 79% 88% 73% 78%
Not right experience 15 9 18 17
Don't know/NA 6 3 9 5
(Asked of Republican primary voters) Is it possible you would ever vote for a candidate who does not share your views on issues like abortion or same-sex marriage or are these issues so important that you could not vote for a candidate who disagrees with you?
Yes, would vote 55%
No, would not vote 36
Depends (vol.) 5
Don't know/NA 4
(Asked of Republican primary voters) Would you be willing or not willing to vote for a candidate for the Republican nomination who has views that are less conservative than yours if you thought that candidate had a good chance to win the presidency in November 2008?
Willing 60%
Not willing 29
Don't know/NA 11
Conducted 7/9-17/07; surveyed 1,554 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 7/19).
(Asked of registered voters) How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much or no attention so far?
All Rep Dem Ind
A lot 24% 18% 27% 25%
Some 46 48 46 44
Not much 22 23 18 23
None at all 9 10 8 8
Don't know/NA 0 1 1 0
(Asked of registered voters) If the 2008 election for president were being held today, would you probably vote for the Republican candidate or would you probably vote for the Democratic candidate?
All Rep Dem Ind
Republican 32% 74% 3% 27%
Democratic 47 10 90 37
Other (vol.) 2 1 0 4
Won't vote (vol.) 1 1 1 2
Depends (vol.) 10 9 4 18
Don't know/NA 8 5 2 12
(Asked of registered voters) In deciding who you would like to see elected president next year, which ONE of the following issues will be most important to you? 1. Education, or 2. Terrorism and national security, or 3. The environment and global warming, or 4. the economy and jobs, or 5. Health care, or 6. The war in Iraq, or 7. Immigration or 8. Something else?
All Rep Dem Ind
The war in Iraq 20% 14% 27% 18%
Terrorism and national security 17 33 6 14
The economy and jobs 17 11 19 19
Health care 16 12 20 14
Immigration 10 14 4 12
Education 8 9 9 6
Environment and global warming 7 1 7 11
Something else 5 5 3 5
Don't know/NA 0 1 5 1
(Asked of registered voters) Is your opinion of Mike Bloomberg favorable, not favorable, undecided or haven't you heard enough about Mike Bloomberg yet to have an opinion?
All Rep Dem Ind
Favorable 9% 7% 12% 8%
Not favorable 9 10 7 11
Undecided 18 16 17 20
Haven't heard enough 62 66 62 60
Don't know/NA 2 1 2 1
(Asked of registered voters) Some people favor the system of presidential primary elections as it is now -- where different groups of states hold their primaries on different days. Other people say it would be better if all states held their primaries on the same day. Which would you prefer -- different primary days or one single national primary day?
All Rep Dem Ind
Different primaries 20% 24% 16% 21%
Single national primary 72 67 77 71
Don't know/NA 8 9 7 8
Thinking about the presidential nomination process, do you think voters in states like New Hampshire and Iowa have too much influence on who wins the Democratic and Republican nominations for president, not enough influence or about the right amount of influence on who wins the Democratic and Republican nominations for president?
All Rep Dem Ind
Too much influence 51% 54% 51% 48%
Not enough influence 5 3 7 6
About the right amount 31 32 32 30
Don't know/NA 13 11 10 16
Many states have scheduled their presidential primaries and caucuses earlier in the year than in previous elections. Do you think this is better because this gives primary voters in more states a say in who the nominee is, or is it worse because there is less time for primary voters to get to know the candidates or doesn't it make a difference either way?
All Rep Dem Ind
Better 18% 16% 20% 16%
Worse 29 29 28 29
No difference 51 51 49 52
Don't know/NA 2 4 3 3
Conducted 5/18-23/07; surveyed 1,125 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 5/24).
How much attention have you been able to pay to the 2008 presidential campaign -- a lot, some, not much or no attention so far?
All Rep Dem Ind
A lot 22% 20% 22% 24%
Some 47 49 47 44
Not much 21 20 21 23
None at all 10 11 9 9
Don't know/NA 0 0 1 0
If the 2008 election for president were being held today, would you probably vote for the Republican candidate or would you probably vote for the Democratic candidate?
All Rep Dem Ind
Republican 33% 78% 3% 24%
Democratic 49 7 89 42
Other (vol.) 1 0 0 3
Won't vote (vol.) 0 0 0 0
Depends (vol.) 10 10 5 18
Don't know/NA 7 5 3 13
Conducted 4/20-24/07; surveyed 1,052 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 4/26).
What if a candidate for President said that everyone will need to make sacrifices -- either by paying more for energy or using less energy -- to help protect the environment. Would that make a difference in whether or not you voted for the candidate?
All Rep Dem Ind
More likely 33% 28% 40% 30%
Less likely 15 19 13 14
No difference 48 48 44 50
Don't know/NA 4 5 3 6
Conducted 3/7-11/07; surveyed 1,362 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 3/12).
In general, what is the best age for a president of the United States -- in their 30s, in their 40s, in their 50s, in their 60s, or in their 70s?
Dem Rep
Priamry Primary
All Rep Dem Ind Voters Voters
30s 5% 4% 6% 3% 6% 3%
40s 26 17 32 29 31 22
50s 55 61 51 54 52 57
60s 9 14 6 9 6 15
70s 0 0 0 0 0 0
Don't know/NA 5 4 5 5 5 3
Regardless of how you intend to vote for President in 2008, who do you expect to finally win the 2008 Presidential election -- a Democrat or a Republican?
Dem Rep
Primary Primary
All Rep Dem Ind Voters Voters
Republican 61% 38% 78% 61% 8% 36%
Democrat 26 47 13 22 84 50
Don't know/NA 13 15 9 17 8 14
(Asked of registered voters) If the 2008 election for President were being held today, would you probably vote for the Republican candidate or would you probably vote for the Democratic candidate?
All Rep Dem Ind
Republican 32% 79% 3% 25%
Democratic 51 7 90 46
Other (vol.) 0 0 0 1
Won't vote (vol.) 1 0 0 1
Depends (vol.) 10 12 3 16
Don't know/NA 6 2 4 11
Conducted 2/23-27/08; surveyed 1,281 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 3/1). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
Which one of the following health care issues would you most like to hear the 2008 presidential candidates talk about over the next two years: 1. reducing health care costs, 2. expanding health insurance coverage for the uninsured, 3. improving the overall quality of care or 4. improving the Medicare prescription drug benefit for seniors? (rotated)
All Rep Dem Ind
Reducing costs 28% 35% 23% 27%
Coverage for uninsured 34 22 35 40
Improving quality of health
care 18 17 21 16
Improving Medicare Rx benefit 18 24 19 13
None (vol.) 0 0 0 1
Don't know/NA 2 2 2 3
(Asked of registered voters) Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2008, do you have confidence in Hillary Rodham Clinton's ability to make the right decisions about health care or are you uneasy about her approach?
All Rep Dem Ind
Confident 36% 12% 60% 32%
Uneasy 51 80 29 49
Don't know/NA 13 8 11 19
Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2008, do you have confidence in John Edward's ability to make the right decisions about health care or are you uneasy about his approach?
All Rep Dem Ind
Confident 22% 12% 32% 22%
Uneasy 50 64 41 47
Don't know/NA 28 24 27 31
Regardless of how you intend to vote in 2008, do you have confidence in Barack Obama's ability to make the right decisions about health care or are you uneasy about his approach?
All Rep Dem Ind
Confident 25% 13% 36% 23%
Uneasy 44 57 39 38
Don't know/NA 31 30 26 39
CNN/OPINION RESEARCH CORPORATION
Conducted 11/2-4/07; surveyed 1,024 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 11/7). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
How important will each of the following issues be to your vote for president next year? Will it be -- extremely important, very important, moderately important or not that important? (rotated)
The economy:
Extremely important 34%
Very important 48
Moderately important 16
Not that important 2
No opinion *
The situation in Iraq:
Extremely important 37%
Very important 43
Moderately important 16
Not that important 4
No opinion *
Health care:
Extremely important 35%
Very important 41
Moderately important 19
Not that important 5
No opinion *
Terrorism:
Extremely important 32%
Very important 44
Moderately important 18
Not that important 6
No opinion *
The situation in Iran:
Extremely important 31%
Very important 42
Moderately important 21
Not that important 7
No opinion *
Gas prices:
Extremely important 31%
Very important 36
Moderately important 24
Not that important 9
No opinion *
Poverty and homelessness:
Extremely important 27%
Very important 38
Moderately important 26
Not that important 10
No opinion *
Taxes:
Extremely important 24%
Very important 39
Moderately important 29
Not that important 7
No opinion *
Illegal immigration:
Extremely important 23%
Very important 38
Moderately important 26
Not that important 13
No opinion *
Abortion:
Extremely important 22%
Very important 24
Moderately important 25
Not that important 26
No opinion *
Gun policy:
Extremely important 20%
Very important 26
Moderately important 29
Not that important 26
No opinion *
Global warming:
Extremely important 19%
Very important 29
Moderately important 27
Not that important 25
No opinion *
Policies towards gays and lesbians:
Extremely important 10%
Very important 17
Moderately important 27
Not that important 45
No opinion *
Conducted 11/2-4/07; surveyed 1,024 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 11/6). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
(Asked of Form A half-sample) Which of the following issues will be most important to you when you decide how to vote for president?
Economy 29%
War in Iraq 28
Health care 18
Terrorism 12
Illegal immigration 10
Other (vol.) 1
No opinion 1
(Asked of registered voters) Compared to previous elections, are you more enthusiastic about voting than usual or less enthusiastic?
RV Dem Rep
More 62% 68% 54%
Less 29 24 38
Same (vol.) 9 8 8
No opinion * * *
(Asked of registered voters) If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Rudy Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Clinton, the Democrat, or Giuliani, the Republican?
Clinton 51%
Giuliani 45
Neither (vol.) 4
Other (vol.) 1
No opinion 1
(Asked of registered voters) Now suppose you could choose between Hillary Clinton as the Democratic Party's candidate, Rudy Giuliani as the Republican Party's candidate, and a third-party candidate who believes that abortion should be illegal in all circumstances. Who would you be more likely to vote for?
Clinton 48%
Giuliani 32
Third party candidate 18
Neither (vol.) 1
Other (vol.) *
No opinion 1
(Asked of registered voters) As you may know, a TV comedian named Stephen Colbert wanted to run in the Democratic presidential primary in South Carolina, but the state party did not include his name on the ballot. Do you think Colbert's name should or should not have been included on the ballot in that state's presidential primary?
Should have been included 54%
Should not have been
included 41
No opinion 5
Conducted 10/12-14/07; surveyed 1,212 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 10/16). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
(Asked of registered voters) Thinking in general about the presidential election in 2008, which of the following statements comes closest to your view: You will definitely vote for the Democratic candidate, you will probably vote for the Democratic candidate, you will probably vote for the Republican candidate or you will definitely vote for the Republican candidate?
Definitely vote Democratic 30%
Probably vote Democratic 22
Probably vote Republican 22
Definitely vote Republican 17
Will vote, but undecided (vol.) 7
Will not vote (vol.) *
No opinion 2
(Asked of registered voters) And thinking about all the candidates currently running for president, both from the Democratic party and the Republican party, which one do you think is most likely to win the general election for president in November 2008?
Clinton 45%
Giuliani 16
Obama 8
Thompson 5
Edwards 4
McCain 4
Gore 2
Romney 2
Biden 1
Dodd 1
Huckabee 1
Tancredo 1
Brownback *
Gravel *
Hunter *
Kucinich *
Paul *
Richardson *
No opinion 10
(Asked of registered voters) If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Rudy Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Clinton, the Democrat, or Giuliani, the Republican?
Clinton 49%
Giuliani 47
Neither (vol.) 3
Other (vol.) *
No opinion 1
(Asked of registered voters) If Al Gore were the Democratic Party's candidate and Rudy Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Al Gore, the Democrat, or Rudy Giuliani, the Republican?
Gore 52%
Giuliani 46
Neither (vol.) 2
Other (Vol.) *
No opinion 1
Conducted 9/7-9/07; surveyed 1,017 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 9/10). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
(Asked of registered voters) If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Rudy Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Clinton, the Democrat, or Giuliani, the Republican?
Clinton 50%
Giuliani 46
Neither (vol.) 3
Other (vol.) *
No opinion 1
(Asked of registered voters) If Hillary Clinton were the Democratic Party's candidate and Fred Thompson were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Clinton, the Democrat, or Thompson, the Republican?
Clinton 55%
Thompson 42
Neither (vol.) 2
Other (vol.) *
No opinion 1
(Asked of registered voters) If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Rudy Giuliani were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Obama, the Democrat, or Giuliani, the Republican?
Giuliani 49%
Obama 45
Neither (vol.) 5
Other (vol.) *
No opinion 1
(Asked of registered voters) If Barack Obama were the Democratic Party's candidate and Fred Thompson were the Republican Party's candidate, who would you be more likely to vote for -- Obama, the Democrat, or Thompson, the Republican?
Obama 53%
Thompson 41
Neither (vol.) 5
Other (vol.) *
No opinion 1
Conducted 8/6-8/07; surveyed 1,029 adults; margin of error +/-3% (release, 8/13). A response of * indicates less than 0.5 percent.
As you may know, CNN and the website known as YouTube held a debate among the Democratic presidential candidates two weeks ago. Which of the following statements best describes you?
Watched all or most of debate 14%
Did not watch debate, but paid close
attention to new stories about it after
it occurred 37
Did not watch debate or pay attention to
news stories about it 48
No opinion