October 13, 2008
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GovernmentExecutive.com - Covering The Business Of The Federal Government
Chuck Todd The Hotline's editor in chief, Chuck Todd, is keeping tabs on all the upcoming key races with regular updates and analysis. His weekly column, "On The Trail," is published Wednesdays. Chuck can be reached at chuck.todd@nbcuni.com.
Chuck Todd's Campaign Race Rankings
Is this the year that Democrats finally regain control of one or both chambers of Congress? Or can the GOP hold on against the odds? Each week through Election Day, NBC's Chuck Todd will update the state of play for all 2006 Senate and governor races, as well as the top 50 House races across the country. Plus, every few weeks, Chuck will check in with the 2008 White House race.

Get a quick look at the latest rankings below, or visit the full 2006 rankings for the Senate, House and governor races to get Chuck's commentary and analysis. Or, get the most recent WH 2008 rankings here.

Senate Rankings
Updates each Wednesday
Governor Rankings
Updates each Thursday
House Rankings
Updates each Friday
The Hotline

Based on likelihood of seat switching party control. Updated: 9/19.

  1. Virginia (Open-R)
  2. New Mexico (Open-R)
  3. N.H. (Sununu-R)
  4. Colorado (Open-R)
  5. Alaska (Stevens-R)
  6. Oregon (Smith-R)
  7. North Carolina (Dole-R)
  8. Minnesota (Coleman-R)
  9. Louisiana (Landrieu-D)
  10. Mississippi (Wicker-R)
  11. Kentucky (McConnell-R)
  12. Maine (Collins-R)
  13. New Jersey (Lautenberg-D)
  14. Georgia (Chambliss-R)
  15. Oklahoma (Inhofe-R)
Full Rankings & Analysis
Links below lead to individual tip sheets for each state.

  1. N.Y. (Open-R)
  2. Ohio (Open-R)
  3. Mass. (Open-R)
  4. Colo. (Open-R)
  5. Ark. (Open-R)
  6. Minn. (Pawlenty-R)
  7. Md. (Ehrlich-R)
  8. Ore. (Kulongoski-D)
  9. Nev. (Open-R)
  10. Idaho (Open-R)
11. Wis. (Doyle-D)
12. Fla. (Open-R)
13. Alaska (Murkowski-R)
14. Maine (Baldacci-D)
15. Iowa (Open-D)
16. Mich. (Granholm-D)
17. Ill. (Blagojevich-D)
18. Texas (Perry-R)
19. R.I. (Carcieri-R)
20. S.C. (Sanford-R)
21. Calif. (Schwarzenegger-R)
22. Okla. (Henry-D)
23. Ariz. (Napolitano-D)
24. Pa. (Rendell-D)
25. Ga. (Perdue-R)
26. Vt. (Douglas-R)
27. Conn. (Rell-R)
28. Ala. (Riley-R)
29. Tenn. (Bredesen-D)
30. Kansas (Sebelius-D)
31. S.D. (Rounds-R)
32. Wyo. (Freudenthal-D)
33. N.H. (Lynch-D)
34. N.M. (Richardson-D)
35. Neb. (Heineman-R)
36. Hawaii (Lingle-R)
The Hotline

Based on likelihood of seat switching party control

  1. N.Y.-13 (Open-R)
  2. N.Y.-25 (Open-R)
  3. Ariz.-01 (Open-R)
  4. Alaska-AL (Young-R)
  5. N.J.-03 (Open-R)
  6. Texas-22 (Lampson-D)
  7. Va.-11 (Open-R)
  8. Ill.-11 (Open-R)
  9. La.-6 (Cazayoux-D)
  10. N.J.-07 (Open-R)
  11. Ohio-16 (Open-R)
  12. Colo.-04 (Musgrave-R)
  13. Pa.-11 (Kanjorski-D)
  14. N.M.-01 (Open-R)
  15. Minn.-03 (Open-R)

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